Vous consultezLa nouvelle présidence iranienne : un jeu à multiples inconnues

The outcome of the Iranian presidential election has surprised many observers. In spite of obvious paramilitary, pasdarans and bassiji pressures, this is an unquestionable victory for the new conservatives. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has managed to gain the support of the poor, lower middle-class people who harbor strong resentment towards Rafsandjani and corrupt politicians, and who have been disappointed by the lack of interest from reformist parties in improving their day-to-day lives. A new rift is becoming visible between rigid “neocons” and “pragmatists” led by Rafsandjani. Khatami’s successor’s ability and strategy remain open to debate. His ideological discourse may lead to internal constraints and uncomfortable dialogue with the European Union.