Vous consultezConséquences énergétiques et sectorielles à long terme d’une contrainte sur les émissions de CO2 en Belgique

In 2006, the Federal Planning Bureau has published two reports on the entwined topic of energy and climate change, this article is mainly inspired by one of these publications. It discusses the different challenges the Belgian energy policy is confronted with based on quantitative material obtained through the energy model PRIMES. Main message is that things are not looking up rosy if past trends and ongoing structural changes are to be continued ; in order to combat climate change, drastic action is needed. In this article, an evaluation of the impacts of achieving a Belgian emission reduction target of 15 % of energy related CO2 emissions by 2030 compared to 1990 is described. In order to reach this objective, three energy policy frameworks are examined. These frameworks are in fact different combinations of (the lack of) two electricity sector technologies, namely nuclear energy and carbon capture and storage. First, the impact of the installation of the objective on each sector is depicted. Second, the consequences on final energy demand (including the energy related costs), production of electricity and steam and national energy supply are scrutinized. The article then concludes by enumerating some major energy challenges Belgium will be faced with in the years to come.
JEL codes: Q4 ; C6.

Keywords
climate change, long term energy perspectives, energy consumption, CO2 emissions