2002
Annales de démographie historique
Migration over the life course in XIXth century Netherlands and the american
north: a comparative analysis based on genealogies and population
registers
John W. Adams
Alice Kasakoff
University of South Carolina USA
Jan Kok
International Institute of Social History Amsterdam
Comme les sources pour l'étude des migrations sont dépendantes de
chaque unité territoriale d'enregistrement, dès qu'une personne franchit une
frontière, elle échappe ipso facto à
l'observation des greffiers locaux. En conséquence, pour pister les individus
mobiles, il faut user de sources couvrant une aire régionale, voire nationale.
La chronologie et le déroulement des migrations dans la durée de vie des
individus sont, pour cette raison, en pratique un champ d'études inexploré.
Toutefois, de nouveaux types de données « micro », s'appuyant au moins
partiellement sur des généalogies, offrent d'importants éclairages sur la
mobilité du passé. Cependant, comme chacune de ces sources est à bien des
titres unique, il est encore difficile de concevoir des mesures de la mobilité
autorisant les comparaisons entre les échantillons de travail. Les généalogies
sont une source prometteuse, mais elles ne fournissent des informations sur les
déplacements que lorsqu'un événement vital se produit. Les données sont donc «
grossières ». Dans cet article, nous tentons d'expérimenter une telle approche
en créant des généalogies « simulées » à partir des données de l'enregistrement
hollandais qui s'avèrent en revanche plutôt « fines ». En comparant la mobilité
observable dans les généalogies « simulées » avec les données fines des
regis-tres de population hollandais, nous démontrons que les généalogies
constituent une source fiable, notamment dans la période où les couples élèvent
leurs enfants. Ainsi, en utilisant des mesures et des sources strictement
comparables pour les deux pays, nous décrivons la mobilité brute pendant le
parcours de vie aux Pays-Bas et dans le nord des États-Unis au
xixe siècle, en termes de distance, et ce
en tenant compte du caractère urbain ou rural des lieux quittés ou atteints.
L'analyse se fait ensuite plus précise sur le calendrier de la mobilité au
cours de la vie, largement concentrée autour de la période d'éducation des
enfants, et nous montrons la tendance des familles à bouger durant des
intervalles intergénésiques spécifiques. La portée des migrations de retour au
sein des deux populations fait aussi l'objet de réflexions. En conclusion, nous
nous servons des nuances repérées ici pour mettre en avant des modèles
provisoires d'analyse des systèmes migratoires en général
Data for the study of migration are tied to specific local or
regional record-keeping units, so when people cross a boundary they become lost
to the observation of the local clerks. Tracing mobile individuals thus
requires sources that cover a broad regional, even national, area. The timing
and sequencing of migrations in individual lifespans is, therefore, a virtually
uncharted field of study. However, new sorts of microdata, based at least in
part on genealogies, do offer important insights into the nature of mobility in
the past. Yet, since each of these sources is in many respects unique, it has
been difficult to devise measures of mobility that can be compared across data
sets. Genealogies are a promising source, but provide information about moves
only when vital events occur. They are thus “coarse grained”. In this paper we
perform an experiment by creating “simulated” genealogies from the Dutch
register data which is otherwise quite “fine grained”. By comparing mobility
that can be observed in these ‘simulated’ genealogies with the much finer grain
of the Dutch population registers, we demonstrate that genealogies can be a
reliable source, particularly during the child-bearing period. Then, using
strictly comparable measures and data for both countries, we describe gross
mobility across the life course in both 19th century Holland and the American
North, in terms of distance and whether the settlements left and entered were
rural or urban. We take a closer look at the timing of mobility during the life
course, concentrating finally on the child-bearing period by analyzing the
tendency to move during specific birth intervals. We also discuss the incidence
of return migration in our two populations. In our conclusions we use the
contrasts we have found to present some provisional models for the analysis of
migration systems in general.
Students of migration usually have less information on the
mobile population than they do on the sedentary. This is because data for the
study of migration are tied to specific local or regional record-keeping units,
so when people cross a boundary they become lost to the observation of the
local clerks. Tracing mobile individuals thus requires sources that cover a
broad regional, even national, area, plus plenty of time and dedication. No
wonder, then, that few historical migration studies based on the micro level of
the entire individual life course have been attempted. Much scholarly attention
has been drawn to long distance or even international migration, that often had
strong impacts on the societies and the indivi-duals involved. However, this
kind of migration only forms the proverbial tip of the iceberg. Recent studies
disclose that most adults have moved at least a number of times during their
lives, but these moves were generally over a short distance.
The timing and sequencing of migrations in individual lifespans
is, therefore, a virtually uncharted field of study. We still know very little
about these mundane movements and the way they fit into a “mobility regime”.
However, a number of pioneering works have shown that new sorts of microdata,
based at least in part on genealogies, do offer important insights into the
nature of mobility in the past (Martinius, 1977; Gribaudi, 1987; Knights, 1991;
Pooley and Turnbull, 1998; Rosental, 1999). They show, for instance, that the
influence of local economic circumstances has often been overestimated: many
moves were not related to changes in employment, but rather to shifts in the
family composition, the occurrence of personal crises, or housing desires
(Pooley and Turnbull, 1998). However, since each of these sources is in many
respects unique, it has been difficult to devise measures of mobility that can
be compared across data sets.
In this article, we propose to make a contribution to this new
area in two respects. First, we will address the question of how the frequency
of observation might affect estimates of migration rates at different stages of
the life course. This involves a discussion of one of the basic differences
between population registers and genealogies, their “mesh”. Genealogies are a
promising source, because they are being created in rapidly increasing numbers,
spanning long periods of time in various countries. However, most provide
information about moves only when vital events occur. They are thus “coarse
grained”. In this paper we perform an experiment by creating “simulated”
genealogies from the Dutch register data which is otherwise quite “fine
grained”. By comparing mobility that can be observed in these “simulated”
genealogies with the much finer grain of a rather unique day-to day
administrative system—the Dutch population registers—we demonstrate that
genealogies can be a quite reliable source for the analysis of mobility, in
particular of families during the child-bearing period. Secondly, we try to
typify and explain differences in historical mobility systems. We do this
through a systematic comparison of families in xixth century Netherlands and the American
North, using the simulated Dutch genealogies. These two systems were, in many
respects, polar types. With this experiment, we hope to make a contribution to
the building of models of mobility that can be expanded to other countries and
periods as well.
First, we introduce our respective datasets and areas.
Obviously, geographical scale, population pressures and opportunity structures
in xixth Holland and the American North
differed widely and have to be taken into account but we focus primarily on the
life-course. Next, we calculate and compare mobility rates from population
registers and from (simulated) genealogies for the Dutch case to see how much
migration is missed in genealogical data. Then, using strictly comparable
measures and data for both countries, we describe gross mobility across the
life course in both xixth century Holland and the American
North, in terms of distance and whether the settlements left and entered were
rural or urban. We take a closer look at the timing of mobility during the life
course, concentrating finally on the child-bearing period by analyzing the
tendency to move during specific birth intervals. We also discuss the incidence
of return migration in our two populations. In our conclusions we use the
contrasts we have found to pre-sent some provisional models for the analysis of
migration systems in general.
Comparing areas and sources
Holland: Demographic and Economic Background
In this comparative analysis, the Netherlands are represented
by the province of Utrecht. We use a database with a detailed life course
reconstruction, including migratory moves, of several thousand local-born
individuals (see below). These people are followed when they left Utrecht
wherever they went, as long as they remained within, or returned to, the
Netherlands. The small province of Utrecht is located in the center of the
country. In 1850, the total population amounted to a mere 149.380 inhabitants.
The surface of the province was 1323 km2and the population density thus 113
inhabitants per km2. Almost a
third of the Utrecht population (47.781) lived in the provincial capital, named
Utrecht as well. Another 12.377 inhabited Amersfoort, the second largest city
in the province. The rest of the population lived in the 89 other
municipalities, all counting less than 5000 persons. In 1900, the total
population of the province had increased by 68% to 251.034, a density of 190
inhabitants per km2. This
increase was entirely caused by natural growth. The birth rates remained high
(still 35‰ in 1891-1895) but the death rates had dropped quickly since 1875
(20,9‰ in 1891-1895). Immigration had hardly contributed to the growth. The
province as a whole was not affected dramatically by the agrarian depression of
the 1880's and 1890's, but it did experience a net migration deficit of 20‰ in
the period 1890-1900. On a regional level, the picture was very diversified. In
the western and southern parts of the province, where dairy farming was
predominant, the out-migration rates were high. However, residential areas in
the central regions attracted many newcomers from outside the province. In
particular the city of Utrecht, which was the nation’s railway hub and had
attracted metallurgic industries and commercial services, had grown fast to a
total of 102.086. In-migration did play an important role here, with large
surpluses particular in the 1880's. In 1900, the number of Utrecht
municipalities had fallen back to 72, due to annexations and combinations. By
then there were four municipalities with between 5000 and 10000
inhabitants.
In the first half of the twentieth century, the Utrecht
population grew even faster by 119% to a total of 549.566 in 1947. Population
density had increased to 415 per km2. The capital city now counted 185.246
inhabitants. Amersfoort had grown almost exponentially to 55996 inhabitants,
thanks to large migration surpluses that were highest in the 1910's. The number
of medium sized towns (5-10.000) had increased to 6, whereas another 9
municipalities had joined the ranks of the large towns (over 10,000
inhabitants). In particular these central municipalities like Zeist and Doorn
continued their high growth through immigration, whereas the southwestern rural
areas still experiences migration deficits. Dairy farming required only little
labour and tended to expel “surplus” children. One child would take over the
farm, subdivision being generally impossible due to the typical location of the
narrow plots of land. The non-inheriting children in this area would be
compensated, but received less than their legal share. In the eastern part of
the province, agriculture was intensified continually, meaning that “surplus”
children could find employment in the area easier. In is not surprising that
long distance migration was a rare choice in this rather densely populated
area, with its diversified labour market. For the more peripheral Dutch areas,
the contemporary picture was quite different. In the northern agricultural
province of Groningen, the laboring families in the period 1870-1889 frequently
opted for emigration (0,8% yearly), mostly to America. During the agricultural
crisis, these rural workers preferred the risky enterprise of emigration to
going to another province of The Netherlands(0,2% yearly), the industrial area
of Groningen (0,1%) or the provincial capital (0,3%) (Paping, 1999,
43).
The American North: Demographic and Economic Background
The sample from the American North is derived from
genealogies in which the first settler in America came to what is now
Massachusetts before 1650. During the period of interest in this paper —roughly
1820 to 1880—the population was expanding rapidly through natural increase and
also spreading geographically as new lands were opened up for settlement. We
refer to the sample in what follows and in several tables as “New England”, but
that is simply shorthand for the descendents of the founding ancestors who by
the time of this study were to be found across the American North, but largely
east of the Mississippi (The area West was not yet colonized.). The majority
were living in the New England States and New York but there were several
already in what is now the Midwest. This area was, obviously, a much larger
region than Utrecht province. Fertility was very high and child mortality
low.
At the time of the first Federal Census in the US in 1790,
95% of all household heads were farmers. Those people who invested in a family
farm–future, tended to have a high number of children. Of these, some stayed
put, reducing their fertility slightly, while others made long distance moves
to the frontier, where they might even have one or two children more than their
stay-at-home relatives. Farms were large (on average 100 acres throughout the
xixth century) and sometimes subdivided as
sons grew up. In 1850 the wealthiest farmers were living in New York along the
Erie Canal. They were largely raising foodstuffs for New York and other cities.
The poorest were in Maine, Northern New Hampshire and Vermont where, with the
exceptions of specialized producers of honey, maple sugar, and cheese, they
were largely subsistence farmers. In Massachusetts and more southern areas,
however, farmers were marketing products to the newly growing cities and towns.
Livestock, butter, cheese, honey, and maple sugar were important products, but
there were many others, including grapes and apples. Lumber had been an
important export since the earliest days.
In 1810 there were only three places with more than 10,000
inhabitants in Southern New England (the states of Massachusetts, Rhode Island,
and Connecticut): Boston, Providence and New Haven. This region had the most
urbanized and densest population of the area where the people in the sample
settled. Still, in 1810 only 7% of the population lived in cities. But 50 years
later the population had more than doubled and there were 26 such places where
36 % of the total population of Southern New England could be found. The
population density increased from 58 per square mile (22 per square kilometer)
in 1810 to 134 per square mile (52 per square kilometer) in 1860. The number
living in the smallest settlements remained more or less the same while the
number in larger towns grew tremendously (Bidwell, 1917, 813-816). The sample
was, however, more rural. The more recent immigrants from abroad were
concentrating disproportionately in the cities. However a large proportion of
the native born who lived in the villages had left farming. Most of them were
artisans, a few in commerce. Among the men born in the
xviiith century about half were
farmers. But in the later cohorts, the focus in this paper, the percentage in
farming started to fall from 40% among men born in the first 20 years of the
xixth century to only 32% among the men
born 1820 to 1840
[1]. The
greatest proportion out of farming was to be found in Southern New England:
only 31% of the men (born from 1800 to 1820) who had their last child there
were farmers. But many of the men who went West after 1830 were also out of
farming and listed occupations like day labor, carpenters, shoemaker, saloon
keeper, teamster, and merchant on the 1860 census.
Overlapping time frame of the two datasets
The comparison we undertake in this paper is most congruent
for men born 1820-1840. The Dutch data is constrained before 1820 because of
the late beginnings of their system of registration; the American data was
constrained by the publication dates of the genealogies, most of which were
compiled at the end of the xixth and beginning of the
xxth centuries, making it difficult to
obtain complete life course information for men born after 1840.
The Dutch data starts later and is best for later cohorts and
thus undoubtedly magnifies the differences between the two mobility systems
since the American sample is more rural and population densities are lower. The
later Dutch sample is more urban with much higher population
densities.
The American database: Genealogies
The genealogists saw their basic task to be the linking
together of everyone with the same surname wherever they might have lived, in
order to produce a history of the descendants from a founder in the male
line
[2]. Thus the
genealogy follows migrants and their families as they moved across the American
North. In contrast to earlier “town” studies based upon family reconstitution
of single communities, a genealogical database allows the study of links
between local communities, and the conceptualization of space as consisting of
flows rather than as bounded units. Nine published genealogies were chosen on
the basis of the quality of the information about migration. They were also
selected so that the founding ancestors settled in different parts of what is
now Massachusetts.
The genealogical data on the American North began with the
men in these nine published genealogies of New England families. Linked in the
patriline, it tracks their migrations over a 250 year period between 1650 and
1880. These data situate migration in the life course with access to such
conditions of the family as the size of sibling sets, birth order, the number
of children, age at a father's death and so on. By the same token, of course,
there are links to the same data for the father and grandfather. By then
linking to the Federal census, which is possible because of indexes to surnames
that have been published (e.g. Jackson, 1982), additional information on wealth
and occupation and residence have been added. Their surnames were virtually
unique in the census records until 1860 making linkage easier. (Linkage to the
1880 census is under way thanks to IPUMS, and the 1870 census will be added as
well.)
The population was intended to mirror the native born
population of the American North. The founders of this group came to New
England between 1620 and 1650; after 1650 immigrants to America tended to go to
the Middle Colonies and until a new wave of immigrants from Germany and Ireland
in the 1830s and “40”s. Thus, the population of New England grew almost
entirely through natural increase from ancestors who had arrived before 1650,
as those we have chosen did, and New Englanders moved Northwards and then
Westwards to settle most of the Northern tier of the United States (Matthews,
1962).
Since the genealogies are basically lists of vital events
with their whereabouts it is only possible to know the broad outlines of the
moves the people in the sample have made in their lives, the level of the
macro-movements and a kind of middle level of migration, local movements to the
next town over. The best covered life cycle stage is the one when people are
having children. Before the fertility decline, they usually had them only two
years apart. Thus they check in every two years and more if the child dies.
But, this period lasts on average only about 15 years and since this population
was very long-lived—the later cohorts discussed in detail in this paper lived
to age 67 provided they survived to age 20—the child bearing period is only
about 20% of their person years. Making assumptions about children staying with
their parents until a certain age, say 15 and adding to this time by using the
births of younger siblings as indicators of their whereabouts is certainly
possible, but there still is a large number of years when check in times were
far fewer. The longest “black boxes” are leaving home before the first child
was born and the stretch of over 20 years after the last child was born, though
if a person had been widowed during that time the genealogies may record the
place where the spouse died. Also the person might have been found on a census
during this part of his life. Men without children had few check-in’s, but this
condition was rather rare in the cohorts we are studying. Among men born before
1860 the celibacy rate for men who lived to age 35 was less than 10%, but even
among the men born after 1845, it was only about 13%
[3].
The database includes 17,594 men and women. These are all the
people descended in the male line from the 9 founding ancestors who were born
before 1860 and all children born to the men born before 1840, so that their
fertility histories are complete. There is also information about approximately
8000 wives of the men born before 1840. In what follows we focus on 858 men
born from 1800 to 1840 on whom we have information about the birth dates and
places of their first wives and who had at 2 children in their first
marriages.
We present here the trajectory of Ory Chaffee. The youngest
in a family of 8 surviving children, he was born in New England, in Northern
Vermont. After his marriage he moved long distances several times, first to New
York, traversing it to its center, but later moving eastward to Clinton County
near the border of his natal state. After having had five children, he left
there when the eldest of his three surviving sons was 9 years old to settle in
Michigan where he died. On the 1850 and 1860 federal censuses he was listed as
a farmer, living in the same town in Michigan, in 1850, as his two next older
brothers, also farmers. Ory’s farm of 140 acres was the largest and the most
valuable ($3500). Ory and a brother were living with adult sons who were also
farmers (Ory’s 21 years old son had newly married). The genealogy, probably
relying on information from his children who were alive at the time it was
compiled, also says he was a tavern keeper at some point in his life.
A bias toward stayers in genealogies?
There is an inherent bias in genealogies to include stayers
at the expense of movers, as indeed, there is in any source for migration.
Still, it must be said that the migration rates and distances migrated we
report are very high. Rates for the colonial period were higher than previous
estimates from reconstitutions of the populations of individual towns in New
England. The data do provide much more information about migrants than previous
studies based upon rates of migration out of, or into, single
locations.
Tab. 1
Trajectory of Ory
Chaffee. A bias toward stayers in
genealogies?
Nr Date entered Residence Date left Destination (km) 1
(birth) 23/05/1807 Rockingham, Vermont Before 09/03/1829 Gorham, Ontario
County, New York 379 2 Before 09/03/1829 Gorham, Ontario County, New York
Before 25/03/1833 Cattaraugus County, New York 149 3 Before 25/03/1833
Cattaraugus County, New York Before 21/07/1837 Clinton County, New York 504 4
Before 21/07/1837 Clinton County, New York About 1837 Adrian, Michigan 901 5
About 1837 Adrian, Michigan 11/03/1872 (death) Adrian, Michigan Note: Dates in
this table, except for the birth and death dates, are approximate because most
of them come from the births of children in different places. We know only that
Ory moved between the date he was married in 1827 and the birth of his first
child in 1829, then again between the birth of his second child in 1831 and his
third, in 1833, then again between the births of his fourth and fifth children.
The evidence for the last move is from the genealogists' statement that "they
lived in New York State until about 1837 and from that time in Adrian. " (page
172). He was listed on the federal censuses of 1850 and 1860 in
Adrian.
In the New England genealogies we can check for bias during
the xixth cen-tury by comparing the residences
of people who were alive during the census years (1820, 1830, 1840 and so on)
with the actual census records, which are now indexed (e.g. Jackson, 1982).
Since the census also asked for the state of birth, we are able to check on the
migration of an entire family through the successive birthplaces of children
listed there. We are also starting to incorporate information from city
directories, published yearly, another source that could add information,
especially on circulation.
To be sure there are always family members who are lost to
the genealogist for any number of reasons. But this tended to happen at the end
of the genealogy. Still, by adding those members found on censuses, and
residences that the genealogist missed, we can be reasonably sure that, at
least every ten years we know where people were living. Several “new”
residences have been added in this way, but more often the effect of the census
is to bring the earliest date when the individual was known to be living in a
particular place forward in time. When we studied the discrepancies between the
genealogy and the census for a part of our sample in 1850 we were surprised to
find the largest number during the childbearing period, the one that is the
best covered in the genealogies. For the period that seemed to have the least
information, youth, the census supplied fewer new places. If this is confirmed
for other censuses, it would simply deepen the contrast between the Dutch and
American migration systems.
The Dutch database: Population Registers
For the Netherlands, we make use of data collected as part of
a large project called Historical Sample of the Netherlands (HSN). Begun in
1991, this project constructs standardized computer files with historical
micro-data in order to facilitate scientific research in such fields as
mortality, social mobility and migration. Eventually, the database will consist
of the reconstructed life courses of more than 70.000 individuals, whose
background, literacy, occupations, eventual marriage(s) and migratory moves are
known (Mandemakers, 2000). The first step was to create a file with the yearly
number of births in every one of the 1400 different municipalities in the
Netherlands between 1812 and 1922. The next step was to let a computer program
draw random numbers from the number of births per municipality and per year.
These numbers were assigned to specific birth certificates. In this way a
sample of a 0,5 % of all persons born in The Netherlands between 1812 and 1922
was taken. All the information that can be found in the birth certificate was
stored in the computer. At this point an extensive search started to retrace
the life courses of these persons. Firstly, the decennial indexes on death
registers were checked to find the certificates of persons who have died in
infancy or childhood. Because the death registers always mention birth place,
age and the names of the parents, linking individuals is rather
straightforward. In a similar way, marriage certificates are retrieved by
checking local or provincial indexes. The Dutch population registers, which
started in 1850, mention the provenance and destination of all individuals. In
principle, the sample persons can be followed from one municipality to another.
The Utrecht sample consists of 3660 persons born in Utrecht. This has been
reduced in this paper because many of these individuals did not survive to
adulthood.
Tab. 2
Trajectory of the Family
D
Residence Date Destination (km) 1 Utrecht 14/12/1875
Amsterdam 35 2 14/12/1875 Amsterdam 7/3/1876 Utrecht 35 3 7/3/1876 Utrecht
6/3/1878 Haastrecht 26 4 6/3/1878 Haastrecht 25/7/1879 Utrecht 26 5 7/8/1879
Utrecht 6/11/1879 Haastrecht 26 6 6/11/1879 Haastrecht 19/8/1882 Rotterdam 34 7
20/9/1882 Rotterdam 31/7/1883 Utrecht 59 8 31/7/1883 Utrecht 28/11/1889 The
Hague 55 9 28/11/1889 The Hague 22/2/1901 Voorburg 4 10 22/2/1901 Voorburg
7/5/1904 Utrecht 52 11 7/5/1904 Utrecht 27/12/1912 The Hague 55 12 27/4/1912
The Hague after 11/8/1915 Schiedam? 18 13 ? Schiedam 19/6/1916 Rotterdam 6 14
19/6/1916 Rotterdam 2/4/1917 Schiedam 6 15 2/4/1917 Schiedam 12/10/1920 The
Hague 18
The following example derived from the HSN database describes
the trajectory of the family D. Soon after their marriage, the cigar maker
Adrianus D. and his wife Wijnanda left their native city of Utrecht for
Amsterdam, only to return to Utrecht after a mere three months. In the
following years, they would try their luck in various cities. In 1921, Adrianus
died in The Hague.
Genealogical and Continuous Information Compared
The strength of genealogical data lies in the genealogical
connections themselves. It is quite a rich source for the study of the
dispersion of families. A second advantage is the coverage of a long span of
time, longer than the registration systems instituted in the middle of the
xixth century permit. However, they often
fail to reconstruct the movements of women, because they change their surnames.
Trajectories based on genealogies depend on vital events. By supplementing with
other sources such as censuses and city directories, some of the black boxes
can be filled in, but it is not possible to glimpse all the detailed comings
and goings that occurred in people’s lives. In particular the timing of leaving
home, the movements of adolescents, and moves after childbearing cannot be
studied in detail. Also, observation of childless couples tends to be
infrequent.
In principle, a life course reconstruction based on the
population registers is not marred by these problems. However, people often
failed to register their moves, even though it was compulsory to do so.
Non-registration was probably most frequent among young and highly mobile
workers. This may lead to an incorrect impression of social differences in
rates of migration. Seasonal migration was not recorded at all. Also, the
registers themselves sometimes present severe difficulties, because of missing
or inadequate indexes. Finally, a move abroad, which happened often in the
border areas, meant that persons are lost from observation
[4].
There are trajectories in the genealogical data that resemble
the one from the Netherlands. For example, Thomas Thurston Farwell, born only 2
years after Ory Chaffee but in a more densely settled part of New England,
Fitchburg, Massachusetts, known for its scythe manufacturing, was a scythe
maker who moved 5 times, remaining within the same area of Southern New
England. First he went 35 km to Chelmsford, then 22 km to South Reading, and
then returned to Chelmsford. Then he returned to Fitchburg and from there moved
93 km to New London, in the neighboring state of New Hampshire, where he died.
These moves were inferred from the birth places of his children (except for the
last one, evidence for which came from the census of 1850
[5]).
In the Dutch family presented above a total of nine children
were born, between 1876 and 1896. The variation in their birth places suggests
that the family moved four times in the child-bearing period: from Utrecht to
Haastrecht, then back to Utrecht and on to The Hague. In reality, the family
had moved six times after the birth of the first child, and seven times if we
include the short stay in Amsterdam in the first months after the marriage.
Judging from this example, using the birth places of children would lead to a
serious underestimation of mobility. But this example is not typical of Dutch
life cycle migration. As we shall see, most moves occurred during adolescence,
with a decrease after marriage, in particular when the marriage was blessed
with children.
We can use the register data to emulate genealogical
“trajectories” data by counting only the moves which become known by means of
birth registrations. Do genealogies miss only short-distance moves or
short-term moves? What is the effect on migration statistics if they come only
from genealogical information? In figure 1, we look at migration rates per
age-group of married persons. The question is: at what stages in the family
life cycle is the genealogical method best suited for an estimation of
mobility? As was to be expected, migration between marriage and first birth,
which occurred very frequently, is the cause of a large gap between the
“register” rates and the “genealogical” rates in the early period of the
marriage. Both rates tend to converge rather neatly in the age group 30-44. For
instance, judging from the birth places of children, fathers aged 40-44 had a
migration rate of 2.5%. In reality, their rate was 0.8% higher, or 3.3% In the
later stages of the family cycle, the difference increases again: a number of
couples have completed their child-bearing. Overall, this does not lead to
serious biases. The infertile couples shown in the graph do exhibit high
mobility until their thirties, but afterwards converge on the trend of the
fertile couples (Figure 1).
Fig. 1
Dutch migration rates by age for
married persons. Comparison between rates based upon register data and rates
based upon birthplaces. The figure also includes childless
couples
A closer look at the childbearing years reveals just how small
the differences are between migration counts based on birthplaces of children
and “real” residences known from the registers. In Figure 2, we present the
rates of migration in each interval, calculated from birthplaces and calculated
from register data that is including “extra” moves (Figure 2).
Fig. 2
Dutch migration rates by birth
interval comparing rates based upon register data and rates from only the
places where children were born
The difference between both lines is most conspicuous in the
first interval. The data are more erratic at the higher parities because of
small numbers. At one point, the genealogical approach even reveals more moves,
due to a stay of several families abroad or in places without
registers.
Although genealogies appear quite useful for mobility research,
we would like to emphasize that their use—like that of any data source—is
limited to certain temporal periods. What they reveal about migration varies
not only with fertility changes (and shortening or lengthening of the period
best covered) but it varies also as migration itself changes, for instance when
circulation becomes more prominent. Also, other sources are needed to check the
validity of the data and to supplement it, but this holds true for continuous
registration as well.
Comparing Dutch and American mobility
Flows from the countryside
In this section, we concentrate on the rural population of
both areas and we compare their migration flows in term of distance and type of
destination. We discuss the approximately forty year period, between birth of
parents and birth of their last child, using only the men. To begin, we
described the migration distances in terms of concentric circles using also the
sizes of places in the two national regions. A move under 6.5 kilometers (4
miles) is equated with staying
[6]. Table 3 reveals in a single glance that the
migration systems were quite different. We notice that about 30% of the New
Englanders had their last child within six kilometers of their place of birth.
For the Dutch, this percentage was almost twice as high. So, the Dutch tended
to stay in or return to their areas of birth far more often than the Americans.
Also, many more New Englanders moved over long distances: 49% of the American
men migrated over forty kilometers before having their last child, versus only
6-13% of the rural Utrecht men
[7].
Tab. 3
Flows (in percentages) between
birthplace and that of the last child, men born in villages in New England and
Utrecht province
New England Utrecht Born 1800 to 1820 Born 1820 to 1840
Born 1820-1860 Born 1860-1892 Distances less than 6.5 km
32 28 61 55 Distances between 6.5km and 40
km 19 23 33 32 Village 16 17 20 13 Small
town 1 3 3 3 City 2 3 11 17 Distances over 40 km 49
48 6 13 Village 41 37 2 3 Small town 4 4 1 3 City 5 7 3 8 N 491 331
158 196
How did these flows change over time? In New England, there
was little change from the older to the younger cohort. In Holland we see an
increase in long-distance mobility and in particular a shift towards urban
destinations. Obviously, the cohort 1860-1892 was caught up in the
industrialization that accelerated after about 1890. The American data ends
before the height of industrialization, so it is not surprising that migration
rates and distances remained stable. But, in any case, in the American North,
migration rates (in this case proportion of people residing outside the states
where they had been born) peaked in the period from 1850 to 1856 judging from
census studies (Ruggle and Hall, 2000, check citations). In America, the period
of pioneering involved greater distances than did the succeeding period of
industrialization.
To some extent, “stayers” may in fact have been return
migrants. In the example of a Dutch migration trajectory that was described in
Table 2, we count no less than eighteen moves but the number of different
municipalities is limited to eight. How important was circular migration in the
two populations? We have calculated that about 5% of New England parents had
their last child in the father’s birthplace after having moved. For the
Netherlands register data, filtered to resemble genealogical data, this figure
stands at 19%. Here, then is some evidence—even using the less complete
genealogical data—that the amount of return was indeed much less in the
American North than it was in the Netherlands. Since it seems that returns are
easier over small distances, perhaps this is due to the differences in
geographical scale and distances moved in the two samples.
The timing of migration in the life course
Now we will re-examine the same data, but from the
perspective of the different stages within the life course. Having looked at
flows in space, we turn to looking at flows across the conventional
“boundaries” of the human life cycle which both sources of data permit: moving
as a child, youth migration, and movement during and after the childbearing
years. We start with a broad mesh of life cycle stages and work down to the
smallest units that can be observed in both sources, birth intervals. In Table
4, we extracted data from the HSN filtered to resemble genealogical data in
order to provide summaries of migration at key intervals during the life
course. So as to be comparable to the genealogical data, the information from
the Netherlands is based upon the whereabouts of men when they experienced the
particular vital events that frame the interval. As in the case of the flows we
have already discussed, here there are also some stark contrasts: the time of
greatest movement in the Netherlands is between the ages of 15 and marriage,
while in the American data it is later, both during the child bearing years and
the period between the birth of the last child and death
[8].
The data from Utrecht have been computed both from all
information and from the simulated data. Not surprisingly, the complete data
shows more migration at each stage of the life cycle than is evident in the
simulations. But the distinctive signature of each system remains, even with
the higher rates of migration in the complete data. Could the lack of migration
during the period of leaving home in New England be an artifact of the poor
coverage of that life cycle stage in genealogical data ? A provisional answer
might be found by adding migration to the New England data based on the
proportion missing in the Utrecht data. The Utrecht simulation would have to be
increased by 14% to reach the rates of the complete data for the stage between
age 15 and the first child. If we add that to the New England data the “true”
rate might be estimated at 38% instead of 33%. This estimated rate for this
stage is still quite a bit lower than proportion of men who moved in Utrecht
using complete data, 49 %
[9]. (Table 4)
Tab. 4
Moves (in percentages) of New
England (NE) and Utrecht (U) men over their life course
Own birth- age 15 Age 15- first child First child- last
child Last child- death NE U NE U NE U NE U Comparing residences at given times
only 35 17 33 43 44 26 50 30 Using continuous registration n.a. 20 n.a. 49 n.a.
33 n.a 35 Length of life cycle stage in years 20 15 7 12 11 12 28 30 N 858 387
833 387 530 305 489 288 Note: In the American case we should note that although
we are reporting the person's migration up to age 20, the measure is probably
more comparable to the Dutch age 15 than it appears at first glance. In the
American data, the person is kept in the previous place until a new place is
recorded and the distance traveled by age 20 was computed from 'old' places.
The genealogy is much 'behind' the mover and in most cases this 'place' comes
from where his younger siblings were born. In panels 3 and 4 we are including
only the cases where the marriage was not disrupted by the death of one of the
spouses before the wife reached age 45. Also to be included in the final panel
the husband had to have survived at least one year after the birth of the last
child in his first marriage. In both the Dutch and NE cases the "last child"
panels exclude families with only one child. In the Dutch sample, the
percentage of movers in the first panel is an underestimation, because the
moves of the fathers born before 1850 could not be established with certainty.
When they still lived in their birthplace in 1850, it was assumed they had not
moved.
We believe the differences in timing to be related to the
different family economies within the two countries. For over 300 years in the
Northern tier of the United States, there was an abundant supply of land for
people or families to take up for farming. However, there was the difficulty of
finding an adequate supply of labor close to the frontier, which placed
pressure on families to pioneer when they had child labour to exploit. This
came to an end, at least in the general population of Native born, during the
1850s & ‘60s (Hall and Ruggles, 1999). In the Netherlands, families seemed
to treat their children’s labour as part of a portfolio of economic resources
and the family tended to become immobilized (“tied down”) as more and more
members found employment in the vicinity.
Double Movers
Movements before the child-bearing period were very
predictive of movements during that period. In the Netherlands, 26% of persons
who had moved earlier, would also move during the childbearing phase, whereas
this percentage was only 10% for those who had not moved earlier (N=753). In
New England, these rates were much higher but still men who had moved earlier
were more apt to move during the child bearing period: 50% of the men who had
moved before having their first child would move again and 20% of men who had
not moved earlier, did so for the first time during the childbearing stage. Who
were these “double movers”, and how can we explain a pattern of frequent
moving? In the following table we look closer into the family background, type
of residence and occupational characteristics of the heads of families in our
samples.
Table 5 shows the characteristics of the men most likely to
make a move before the birth of their first child and to make subsequent moves
afterwards as well. In the Utrecht sample 42% moved before having their first
child, and 11% (about a quarter of the first group) moved again between their
first and last children’s births. But a much higher proportion of men in
certain occupations (higher occupations such as majors and clerics, lower civil
servants) did so. So multiple moving was a pattern in these groups while
skilled regularly employed workers, on the other hand, moved much less during
the child bearing period even if they had moved before. Double moving also
increased among the later cohort. Did these patterns reflect a new life cycle
career pattern for an emerging group of civil servants ? A relatively early
death of one's own father tended to restrict migration. So, instead of
releasing resources that would enable a new start in another place, the young
husband and father tended to stay in his birth place, suggesting a taking over
of father's workshop or farm. Similarly, sharing father's occupation, or at
least the same socio-economic group, tended to restrict mobility. Although the
difference is not very great, we observe that men with many children tended to
move less often than men with a small number of children. In the Netherlands,
family size limited mobility.
Tab. 5
Percentage of fathers moving
before own birth of first child and then between birth of first child and move
of last child
Utrecht New England Before first child
Also between first and last child N
Before first child Also between first
and last child N Born in villages 46 12 431 64 34 722 Born in small towns 52 11
27 52 22 54 Born in cities 35 9 295 52 20 54 Born 1800-40 63 30 500 Born
1820-40 39 13 150 62 34 330 Born 1840-60 38 11 172 Born 1860-92 45 18 441 Own
father deceased at time of marriage 37 14 270 68 36 159 Own father alive at
time of marriage 45 12 483 62 31 655 No of children ever born >5 36 13 304
60 31 294 No of children ever born<6 46 10 449 64 34 536 Same occupational
group as father 41 9 392 56 25 351 Differerent occupation as father 45 13 306
67 37 392 Left farming 46 14 44 66 41 171 Continued farming 37 12 74 51 19 191
Higher occupations 70 30 20 Shopkeepers and merchants 33 12 127 Lower civil
servants 74 19 54 Skilled workers 40 6 250 Casual and unskilled workers 37 11
190 Farmers 40 15 93 54 24 286 Non-farmers 70 46 289 Mixed 61 31 213 First son
58 26 231 Middle son 67 35 340 Last son 63 34 202 Only son 56 32 57 Sibgroup
size>5 62 31 662 Sibgroup size<6 65 35 168 All 42 11 753 63 32
830
In the American sample, again, the overall rates of migration
were much higher than in the Dutch case and so was double moving. 63% had their
first child away from where they had been born (compared with 42% in the Dutch
case) and fully one third of the sample moved during both parts of the life
cycle (compared with 11% in the Dutch sample). Men who were not farmers and
whose occupation was different from their father’s, men who had had fewer
children themselves and were members of small sibling sets and born in a later
cohort were most the apt to have moved during both parts of the life cycle.
Contrary to Holland, men whose fathers were dead at the time of marriage moved
more often than men whose fathers were alive. In both countries, the pattern of
moving both before and after having had the first child increase over time and
seems to have been a response to taking up new occupations. In the New England
case mobility was conspicuous among men who were leaving farming. Men born in a
village would move before having children to another village where they would
take up work out of farming. The family variables also show that eldest sons
were less apt to move twice. Some of these differences might have been due to
differences in inheritance patterns between the two countries.
Tab. 6
Length of Birth Intervals:
Utrecht and New England
Interval Utrecht New England N Utrecht N New England 1-2
child 2.19 2.75 661 1084 2-3 2.37 2.99 559 889 3-4 2.49 2.99 479 655 4-5 2.42
2.96 390 466 5-6 2.32 2.83 304 342 6-7 2.28 2.72 229 221 7-8 2.30 2.83 169 148
8-9 2.21 2.69 119 89 9-10 2.26 2.90 76 51 10-11 2.08 2.26 51 27 11-12 2.17 2.26
40 27
Migration during the childbearing years
In what follows our mesh becomes very fine, the smallest
intervals both datasets are capable of observing. We ask whether or not couples
migrated between the births of successive children and our intervals are often
only two years long. Figure 3 shows there is a decline in the rate of moving
from earlier to later birth intervals in both countries, but the rates at each
interval are higher in the American North, as might be expected since the
overall frequency of moving during the childbearing years was higher, as we
have just seen. There are “bumps” in later intervals in both sets of data, the
Dutch remaining flat from 4th
to 7th child and in the
American North there was more moving between 6th and 8th child than between earlier births.
The rises during later intervals may be an indicator of heterogeneity in the
behavior of large vs. small families. Families that have more children seemed
to have moved more, as indeed would be consistent with the pioneer pattern of
moving after the oldest sons would have been able to help by clearing
land.
Fig. 3
Proportion Moving during each
Birth Interval
Migration during Particular Birth Intervals
In our final analysis, we compare the tendency to move
between two specific birth intervals, one early and one late in the
child-bearing period. The analysis gives a sense of the unfolding of family
behavior over time. We have also made a regression to predict moving during the
entire childbearing period in the two countries, but, many of the variables
which seemed important when we looked at the probability of moving during this
larger unit of time were no longer significant when we looked at each
particular interval. For example, in both countries farmers were less apt to
move during the entire child bearing period than men in other occupations.
Smaller settlements (the villages under 5000 inhabitants) were more apt to be
left in both countries than towns and cities. Migration was more frequent among
later cohorts, also, in both countries
[10]. Also important in both countries was whether the
person had moved prior to the childbearing period: men who had moved before
were significantly more apt to move during the child bearing period, the
phenomenon described as double movers. Apparently, these factors encouraged
moving, but not at any particular point during the childbearing
period.
Other factors came to the fore at this smaller temporal
scale. A particularly important variable in predicting moving during later
intervals was whether the couple had moved previously during the child-bearing
stage of the life cycle. Also, there were interesting differences between the
moves earlier in childbearing and later. For instance, the husband’s
characteristics were more important in determining whether or not a couple
moved earlier in the marriage but not later in both samples. In New England it
was his occupation that was important with the men who were farmers less apt to
move early on. However, in the Netherlands it was whether or not he had moved
before marriage which was important in the earlier interval but not the later
one. Whether the wife had moved before having her first child was also
important then. Individuals who had migrated before marriage probably had built
up a reservoir of contacts in the surrounding areas, contacts they could use in
subsequent moves for housing or employment reasons. This, along with the great
importance of moving during a prior interval suggests that a sharper dichotomy
existed between stayers and movers in Holland than in the American North. And,
that there was more influence from the prior life cycle stage than in
America
[11].
Table 7
Beta values of logistic
regression on moves between selected birth intervals in New England (NE) and
Utrecht (U)
Between Second and Third Between Fourth and Fifth NE U NE
U Intercept 0.56 ‑1.10 1.51 ‑2.06 Wife did
not move before childbearing (ref = moved) 0.05 -0.59* ‑0.005 0.45 Husband did
not move before childbearing (ref =moved) ‑0.14 -0.90** ‑0.36 ‑0.20 Living in
Town (city=ref) 0.01 1.18** 0.23 1.27* Living in village (city=ref) ‑0.27 0.10
0.63 0.25 Second cohort (first cohort=ref) 0.14 ‑0.23 0.08 0.44 Husband’s age
when child born -0.03 ‑0.01 -0.06 ‑0.03 Wife’s age when child born 0.03 0.02
‑0.06 0.02 Father farmer (non farmer and mixed ref) -.32** ‑0.07 -.09 0.23
Birth interval length 0.23*** 0.11 0.11 0.11 Final family size 5 or less (ref =
6 or more) -0.25 ‑0.43 0.40 ‑0.76 Did not move in a previous birth interval
(ref = did) -2.58**** -1.09*** -1.6**** -1.7*** N 655 ? 363 ? R square 0.16
0.06 .21 0.05 Model Chi Square 119.36*** 31.50 85.39*** 19.90
In this paper we have sought to demonstrate, first, that
genealogies, even though coarse-meshed, provide adequate coverage of moves in
many contexts, hence that they are a useful and valid data source, especially
if they are used with appropriate caution. This is very helpful since the
finer-meshed register data do not exist for many countries.
Secondly, despite the many disparities in the respective
circumstances of migration in the small province of Utrecht from the middle of
the xixth into the middle of the
xxth century and migration of New
Englanders, mostly Westward, in the much vaster region of the American North
from about 1840 to 1890, the differences we find are not due to differences in
quality of data.
If true, the differences we find between them can be the basis
for productive typologies of migration. The two mobility systems are, in
certain respects, a pair of “structural opposites”, different in more than
simply the frequency of moving, or the distances traversed. To be sure during
the period studied, New Englanders moved over longer distances and settled
farther from their birthplaces, whereas the Dutch stayed put more often, moved
over shorter distances and had more return mobility as well. The timing of
migration was different as well: New Englanders had more migration during the
child-bearing years; the Dutch had more youth movement. However, movements in
one segment were related to movements in others in both countries. So parents
in New England positioned their children by their own movements during the
child bearing years because they brought their young children along when they
went West. This happened less frequently in Utrecht area. We think that these
two polar types may well be useful for studying flows in other
countries.
The conclusions would suggest that the timing and nature of the
movements during the different life-cycle stages varied in our two countries.
This seems to be a response to economic differences. Difference in labour
demands and opportunities would appear to explain much of the difference,
especially when family labour is conceptualized as a “portfolio” of investment
potential, under the control of the parents.
The practical result is that there are only four or five broad
segments of the life-cycle which must be taken into consideration in studies of
migration: 0-14, 15-29, 30-49, 50+, and possibly retirement. But they can be
reduced even further, to two or three. The period “0-14” coincides with the
child-bearing years “30-49” closely enough that it can be disregarded. That is,
children are taken along by their parents when they move. The “after 50” and/or
“retirement”move may actually co-vary in intensity with either the “15-29” or
the “30-49”depending on when and how far children move as adults, and whether
their parents relocate to be near children. Perhaps, one may be able to ask
simply whether a system favors youth or family migration.
In considering models of migration, we should, first of all,
acknowledge that we have only asked how changes in temporal scale affected our
understanding of migration. But we have not addressed issues of spatial scale
that are surely related to the differences we have found. Obviously, it is
important to know what different scales of movement possibilities exist against
which specific movements could be fore-grounded. Given the great disparity in
size of the two regions studied, we suggest that a model of “three layers” is
useful in describing spatial movement, each with a different geographic reach
and tempo. Firstly, macro, pioneering or long distance moves. Secondly, middle
or local moves, say a 40km radius. Thirdly, micro: “leaving home” and
“circulation”. This may indicate degrees of success in finding a niche, or a
return for reasons of inheritance, or possibly from welfare considerations. It
would seem that youth migration systems are most often found where the majority
of moves are within the middle or local area, while family migration systems
involve greater distances.
It remains to be seen exactly how the micro layer is related to
the other two layers of movement. At the other end of the scale, we need to ask
about the transition from macro movements back down to circular micro
movements. It certainly occurred in the American North historically where,
after moving with parents a long distance to cheaper land, sons fanned out over
shorter distances. We are approaching a view of migration as cyclical —over a
lifetime and beyond a generation—with vectors from staying to moving—and back
to staying. As we do so, we may want to add to our existing measures of
“crow-flies” distances, a measure that is more “cumulative” in kind, then
examine how these alternate as appropriate indices over time.
We now know that flows in one stage of the life cycle lead to
flows in later ones, and that these effects go across generations. This
two-country comparison broadens the inquiry to embrace the entire life-course
as the minimum context for migration in any one part of it. Thus the customary
boundaries between different life course stages (and perhaps also generations
which present different linkages in the two countries) apparently are as
artificial as are political boundaries for purposes of studying
migration.
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[1]
We use a lifetime occupational designation. There are three
categories: farmers, non-farmers and mixed, men who pursued both farm and
non-farm work in their lives. The men who did not farm at all (excluding the
mixed) grew from about 20% among men born in the
xviiith century to 33% among men born from
1800 to 1820 and 41% among men born 1820 to 1840. These lifetime designations
depend upon how many times occupations were mentioned in the records: to be
“mixed” there had to be at least two designations. The increase in mixed may
not, therefore, reflect occupation changes but rather the multiplicity of
“finds” in our sources.
[2]
We were unable to include women in the analysis because
genealogists did not always follow them after marriage. They tended to lose
those who had moved the farthest. They are, however, included in the sets of
children born to each couple and in the fertility variables in our
regressions.
[3]
This may reflect the falling off of the data rather than an
actual rise.
[4]
The Historical Sample intends to do a systematic check in the
registers of immigrants to America or to the Dutch Indies for missing
persons.
[5]
This move was in the genealogy, but later, where it would have
been inferred from the death places of both Mr. Farwell and his wife, who
predeceased him.
[6]
In the American North, the large towns were progressively
divided and it was usually not possible to distinguish a move from a change of
name. During the Colonial Period, town centers were approximately 4 miles
apart, so we decided to adopt this as a threshold. A “move” of less than 4
miles might have represented simply a change of jurisdiction.
[7]
For Utrecht, being centrally located, since moves outside the
Netherlands were not included, the maximum distance for migration within the
Netherlands would be about a hundred kilometres.
[8]
In the American data, the person is assumed to live with his
parents unless there is evidence to the contrary until he is age 15. If after
that age he is found in the same town as his parents then he is assumed to have
moved there at the same time as they did.
[9]
It is curious that the greatest discrepancy in Utrecht data
between the simulated and complete data occurs during the childbearing years.
But if the same exercize were repeated for the childbearing years and we were
to add the missing moves according to the rates in the Utrecht complete data,
then the contrast would be even greater and the rates would rise to 59% of men
in New England moving in this part of the life cycle. Also, data for women in
Utrecht were rather different. For them, the greatest discrepancy occurred
during the period between leaving home and having their first children due to
their migration at marriage.
[10]
In the Netherlands men with higher occupations or civil
servants were more apt to move than farmers, skilled workers and labourers.
Also the longer the childbearing period the more apt couples were to move, as
one might expect, in both countries. In both countries, if the father had died
when the child was still unmarried, his son was less apt to move, but this was
statistically significant only in New England.
[11]
These regressions also point to the importance of the completed
size of the family. American families which would eventually have more children
were differentiated early in the course of child-bearing but the result was
just short of statistical significance. Migration between the second and third
child was less likely (p=.07) for families which would eventually have fewer
than 6 children. Migration was more likely for these smaller families during
the interval from the fourth to the fifth child, however (p=.08). This raises a
host of conceptual issues because it would appear that families are “slotted”
(“pre-destined”) along paths of fertility and migration that are linked from
the moment of marriage on. We suggest that young couples looked forward to
pioneering and raised their fertility accordingly: that is they did not move
as a reponse to having high fertility,
but the reverse. Studies of child mortality have discovered a similar
phenomenon in which families which later become large experienced higher
mortality of their children even at lower parities (Lynch and Greenhouse,
1994). Clearly, it will be important to examine all the intervals.