The Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy of the Central Bank of Russia under Asymmetrical Price Rigidity
Victoria V. Dobrynskaya
This paper analyses the optimal monetary policy under incomplete pass-through and asymmetrical price rigidity. In a general equilibrium sticky price model of a small open economy we find that the optimal interest rate rule is to respond to real exchange rate shocks, reducing pass-through. Moreover, the extent of the optimal intervention depends positively on the degree of pass-through and negatively on price rigidity. Therefore, monetary policy should adjust more in the case of depreciation of the domestic currency than in the case of its appreciation due to higher downward price rigidity and lower downward pass-through. We use this prediction to evaluate the monetary policy of the Central Bank of Russia. We find that the present policy is too inflationary and suggest that less effort should be made to prevent nominal appreciation of the Rouble.
JEL: E12, E31, E52, F41
Keywords :
exchange rate, pass-through effect, monetary policy, intervention, asymmetrical price rigidity.
• Introduction
• Literature Review
— Pass-Through Effect and Monetary Policy
— Asymmetric Nominal Rigidity
• The Model of the Optimal Monetary Policy
— Set-up of the Model
— Optimal Monetary Policy under Discretion
• Empirical Estimations
— Data
— Pass-through Effect
— Monetary Policy Analysis
• Conclusion
• REFERENCES